BOM says increased La Nina chance this spring/summer.

NSW & ACT specific bushwalking discussion.
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NSW & ACT specific bushwalking discussion. Please avoid publishing details of access to sensitive areas with no tracks.

BOM says increased La Nina chance this spring/summer.

Postby wildwanderer » Wed 15 Sep, 2021 7:06 am

It could be that the creeks will be flowing this summer. Which if it pans out would be good news for summer bushwalking.

In recent times I've tended to avoid longer trips in summer due to the heat and the difficulties in finding water.

BOM September update http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

Three of the seven models surveyed by the Bureau meeting La Niña criteria, while two additional models briefly touch La Niña thresholds.

La Niña events increase the chances of above-average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia during spring and summer.
....
Bureau has lifted its ENSO Outlook status to La Niña WATCH, meaning around a 50% chance of La Niña forming. This is approximately double the normal likelihood.


Also see for overall outlook incling temperature. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/ ... w/summary/
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