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BOM says increased La Nina chance this spring/summer.

PostPosted: Wed 15 Sep, 2021 7:06 am
by wildwanderer
It could be that the creeks will be flowing this summer. Which if it pans out would be good news for summer bushwalking.

In recent times I've tended to avoid longer trips in summer due to the heat and the difficulties in finding water.

BOM September update

Three of the seven models surveyed by the Bureau meeting La Niña criteria, while two additional models briefly touch La Niña thresholds.

La Niña events increase the chances of above-average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia during spring and summer.
Bureau has lifted its ENSO Outlook status to La Niña WATCH, meaning around a 50% chance of La Niña forming. This is approximately double the normal likelihood.

Also see for overall outlook incling temperature. ... w/summary/